Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Election 2016 Update 10-18

State of the Election 2016

Trump Meteor Forecast

The Trump Meteor has a 16% of striking the Earth and destroying civilization as we know it.

There's an Election I Guess

Yesterday I said Clinton had broken her ceiling while Trump may have a new low. Here is the breakdown starting from the 1st Debate, Sep 26th.

                           Trump   Clinton Undecided  3rd
Low     4-way Oct 13-15th  39.1%    44.5%    7.5%     8.9%
        2-way              41.4%    48.1%   10.5%
High    4-way Oct 2nd      41.1%    43.4%    6.1%     9.4%
        2-way              45.0%    47.5%    7.5%

Clinton
                          Clinton  Trump  Undecided   3rd
Low     4-way Sep 26th     43.1%   41.5%     5.6%     9.8%
        2-way              46.6%   44.3%     9.1%
High    4-way Oct 18th     45.9%   39.0%     9.5%     8.9%
        2-way              48.9%   41.9%     9.2%

39% Trumpys
4% to 6% Hopeys

43% Borings
2% to 6% Excitables

6% to 8% No-Way-No-Hows
2% to 6% Wait-n-Sees

Here's what they were before

Trump
35% Trumpys
7% to 9% Hopeys

Clinton
39% Borings
6% to 7% Excitables

8% No-Way-No-Hows
2% to 5% Wait-n-Sees

The Wait-n-Sees and No-Way-No-Hows have hardly changed, so what we are seeing is more the "hardening of their base", Hopeys becoming Trumpys and Excitables becoming Borings.

Furthering my Cowardly Ways, this can all change after tomorrows debate.

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