State of the Election 2016
Trump Meteor Forecast
There's an Election I Guess
Yesterday I said Clinton had broken her ceiling while Trump may have a new low. Here is the breakdown starting from the 1st Debate, Sep 26th.
Trump Clinton Undecided 3rd
Low 4-way Oct 13-15th 39.1% 44.5% 7.5% 8.9%
2-way 41.4% 48.1% 10.5%
High 4-way Oct 2nd 41.1% 43.4% 6.1% 9.4%
2-way 45.0% 47.5% 7.5%
Clinton
Clinton Trump Undecided 3rd
Low 4-way Sep 26th 43.1% 41.5% 5.6% 9.8%
2-way 46.6% 44.3% 9.1%
High 4-way Oct 18th 45.9% 39.0% 9.5% 8.9%
2-way 48.9% 41.9% 9.2%
39% Trumpys
4% to 6% Hopeys
43% Borings
2% to 6% Excitables
6% to 8% No-Way-No-Hows
2% to 6% Wait-n-Sees
Here's what they were before
Trump
35% Trumpys
7% to 9% Hopeys
Clinton
39% Borings
6% to 7% Excitables
8% No-Way-No-Hows
2% to 5% Wait-n-Sees
The Wait-n-Sees and No-Way-No-Hows have hardly changed, so what we are seeing is more the "hardening of their base", Hopeys becoming Trumpys and Excitables becoming Borings.
Furthering my Cowardly Ways, this can all change after tomorrows debate.
Trump Clinton Undecided 3rd
Low 4-way Oct 13-15th 39.1% 44.5% 7.5% 8.9%
2-way 41.4% 48.1% 10.5%
High 4-way Oct 2nd 41.1% 43.4% 6.1% 9.4%
2-way 45.0% 47.5% 7.5%
Clinton
Clinton Trump Undecided 3rd
Low 4-way Sep 26th 43.1% 41.5% 5.6% 9.8%
2-way 46.6% 44.3% 9.1%
High 4-way Oct 18th 45.9% 39.0% 9.5% 8.9%
2-way 48.9% 41.9% 9.2%
39% Trumpys
4% to 6% Hopeys
43% Borings
2% to 6% Excitables
6% to 8% No-Way-No-Hows
2% to 6% Wait-n-Sees
4% to 6% Hopeys
43% Borings
2% to 6% Excitables
6% to 8% No-Way-No-Hows
2% to 6% Wait-n-Sees
Here's what they were before
Trump
35% Trumpys
7% to 9% Hopeys
Clinton
39% Borings
6% to 7% Excitables
8% No-Way-No-Hows
2% to 5% Wait-n-Sees
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