Sunday, July 31, 2016

The Repeal of Godwin’s Law

The Gadfly Scholar explains why comparisons to Hitler can be more than rhetorics.

Since the first election I can remember, and probably through all American history (perhaps all of history), we have heard each election talk as if no other election was as importance as this.

From the podium, someone in a blue suit and red tie would eventually say. “This time is special….. If the other side wins, life in America will irrecoverably changed to tyranny….. The Earth will crack. Demons will usher in the End of Times….. And oh, be sure to vote for me.”

That’s how it ends. Always with “vote for me”. We have become cynical of such language, and correctly conclude that it is just part of politics. Oh sure, some are swayed into the urgency of the moment, and do what such speeches intend. We do more than vote. We evangelize. (Some of us even write blogs.)

And then, whoever, wins we just move on to the next election, and yes often there is change, sometimes bad sometimes good. Sometimes it look bad and turns out good, and the other way. But, rarely, if ever, elections change as much as the campaign predict.

We are, of course, talking about hyperbole.

Now let me tell you about World War II.

To be old enough to remember WW II, you would be in your 80's, so most of us don’t remember it. But, many of us remember having parents and grandparents who lived it. For someone, living through WW II very little could compare. Imagine how you felt the day of 9/11. Now imagine that going on for over four years.

For those of us, who grew up in its historical shadow, we saw the way it shaped our culture and politics. In particular, we saw an overwhelming motive behind the previous generation.
To never let a world war happen again.
Every president from Eisenhower to George H. W. Bush served in the WW II. Many of them saw combat, and three won medals.[1] For president informed by that experience, part of their every foreign policy was to never have a WW III.

It is the reason we have the United Nations and NATO. It was stated by George H. W. Bush as a reason for the 1st Iraq War, then by Bill Clinton for the US to be involved in the Bosnian Civil War. And for the rest of us not in the military or juggling foreign policy, we had another mission, for even those born after WWII.
To never let there be another Hitler (or Mussolini).
I know. I know. We are not suppose to talk about him any more. Nazi are only to be referred to in video games and action movies. There was, however, a reason he is so often brought up. Comparison of Hitler is not just a rhetorical trick. His rise to power represents an institutional fear born from one of the most evil regimes in modern history.

The villains of WW II in Europe did not rise in a bloody coup.[2] They were not the descendants of monarchs. They did not fall from space and take over using mind control rays They were elected.

This is the reason he is referred to, so much. Historians, psychologists, sociologist, and other scholars have since then studied his rise to power. Artist, especially those that lived thru that time, routinely allude to him, giving us a template of how such a man can usurp a democracy. And we now have a thorough understanding of his tactics.

And there’s the problem. You see Hitler’s tactics weren’t that special. They were tried and true political tactics that existed long before the 1930's. Scapegoating to shift blame, appealing to resentments, invoking fear of the other, using group identity to create fanatical followers are not new. They have been and still are part of politics. You can even see them used by corporations, in advertising, and, if you look, in your own job. The autocrats of WW II only did it to a much much larger degree, and used them to lead their countries to disastrous ends.

Now history is more complicated than I describe. People are much more complicated than I describe. There were also many historical events that contributed. And, what we call fascist does not strictly adhere to Fascism. But that has been rarely the point.

Autocrats have risen to power in other circumstances than those leading to WW II, and arguing the cause and effect are beyond what we could discuss here by a lack of scope and, frankly, my lack of expertise. Right now, though, that they happen is enough to be concerned.

Falling to communism, plutocracy, or any other autocracy would mean the end of democracy just as much as fascism. All could be the result of a Hitler-like politician. Hitler is just a stand in for all these threats.

So, yes, references to Hitler are overused. And, yes, we too often see Hitler at the smallest resemblance. I am admitting to all that. Given that our democracy is still intact, we have been overreacting in our fear of WW III. Hitler so far has just been hyperbole.

The point here is that there is a reason to fear the rise of the autocrat. The threat may have the likelihood of a meteor hitting the Earth, but one day a meteor will hit the Earth. Yes, the smart bet is that today the meteor will not. However, one day we will have to listen to that lone astronomer, even when so many in the past have been wrong.

So, here’s the problem. When you are warned that the next president could be a Hitler, you would be smart to ignore it. But, one day, the threat will be real. What rational argument would be enough to look beyond the false alarm? What “science” would we need?

We now have a presidential candidate that has used more Hitler-like tactics than I have seen in my lifetime. (And I’m old enough to remember Nixon.) He is also the first one since WW II[3]  to get this close to the presidency. Is now the time we should invoke Hitler, and if not when?

Friday, July 29, 2016

So Why Am I Here Today?


I bet you've thought about starting blog. (If you have already, well good for you. I'm not talking to you yet.) As you imagined the blog you would write, you also found reasons to write it later. There's always tomorrow to make the first post right. Since the day I heard the word 'blog', the same happened for me.

I would wake up, my mind racing with fresh thoughts. As I drank my coffee, the caffeine would untangle neurons, and those thoughts would hone into full mental pontification. I would begin a blog. My words will be so creative and insightful, they'll shudder through the internet, spread only by the force of their eloquence. Followers will begin to whisper. “Who is this Gadfly?” I'll appear on the Tonight Show....

Anyway, you get the point.

Of course such thoughts always work out better in coffee stimulated daydreams, than they do in life. A blog is work. You can always daydream now and start tomorrow.

So what changed?

Well, events are happening, unlike none I have seen in my life. The times deserve my shouting whispers to vainly attempt to be heard. I know I join multitudes who have the same shouting whispers, and as corny as it is to say: 'Now is not the time to be silent'.

I am of course talking about the possibility of a Trump presidency.

Ironically, I just told you that this is not why I am here. I just said, I'm not here to change minds or go on some agenda. Now, you can see, I am going to rant like a zealot about the end of the world, fire falling from the sky, cats living with dogs...

Well, maybe not that bad. But still bad. Bad enough for me to engage in some short term hypocrisy, and yes, even start a blog and send some tweets.

In my next post (maybe a few), I will attempt to explain why Trump is different. I hope to do so in a reasoned way without relying on knee jerk reactions, overused rhetoric, and amateur psychology.

And then, I will get back to what I hoped this blog would be when I first daydreamed about it.

But for now, the danger of Trump does require us to speak out without hesitation or doubt. (Besides, I have so many Trump jokes.)

Why Am I Here?

First of all, my priority is not to change anyone's mind (though it would be nice), I'd rather you have a deeply thought opinion that I disagree with, than a shallow one I do. Not that you won't hear my overblown opinions sometimes (OK, you'll hear it a lot), but that's not my goal. Instead, I'd like to share ideas that can inspire us to think clearer. and let you shape your ideas as you wish.

So, why should you listen to me? I don't have a good answer to that just a promise. I can say that any writing I put here will not be some rant or zealot evangelizing. What I give you will be as reasoned as best I can, and with the intention of enriching your life, even if in a small way. (Oh, and I'll try to slip in some jokes when I can.)