State of the Election 2016
Post Debate
You should never assume the winner of a debate, until a week after the debate. Winning is not appearing to be the winner, its how it helped or hurt you politically. And, after a debate politicians do know how to turn a week into a lose.
If you doubt that, note that we are still talking about who won 2 days afterwards. Trump is trying to spin a win, and Clinton is trying to capitalize on the win. That this is how the candidates are responding means even Trump's own supporters realize he lost. But, if he is successful in his spin, he can keep the polls from shifting too much. That's why I'm being conservative on how much the polls will change.
There is a trap for him, however. (Fingers crossed). The longer Trump talks the more he can lose. If he is still defending his debate performance next week, he's making it worse. Normally, I would not even consider a candidate doing this, but it is Trump.
If you doubt that, note that we are still talking about who won 2 days afterwards. Trump is trying to spin a win, and Clinton is trying to capitalize on the win. That this is how the candidates are responding means even Trump's own supporters realize he lost. But, if he is successful in his spin, he can keep the polls from shifting too much. That's why I'm being conservative on how much the polls will change.
There is a trap for him, however. (Fingers crossed). The longer Trump talks the more he can lose. If he is still defending his debate performance next week, he's making it worse. Normally, I would not even consider a candidate doing this, but it is Trump.
Alicia Machado
So, Clinton points out horrible comments made by Trump about a Miss Universe winner, Alicia Machado, about 10 years ago. I haven't heard of her. Almost, no ones heard of her. Trump barely remembers her. No big deal right.
Then Trump next morning calls her fat. This is the kind of reaction that has most hurt him in the past, when he goes after a non-politician. Think Judge Curiel and the Khan family. If he goes any further, he could end his chances before the 2nd debate. (Shh, don't tell him.)
What I find most encouraging is that Machado is responding on Spanish television. Lately, Hispanic support needs to be shored up for Clinton, and this could do it. (Why they need more reason to run to the polls and vote against Trump, I can't figure out).
Then Trump next morning calls her fat. This is the kind of reaction that has most hurt him in the past, when he goes after a non-politician. Think Judge Curiel and the Khan family. If he goes any further, he could end his chances before the 2nd debate. (Shh, don't tell him.)
What I find most encouraging is that Machado is responding on Spanish television. Lately, Hispanic support needs to be shored up for Clinton, and this could do it. (Why they need more reason to run to the polls and vote against Trump, I can't figure out).
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